Apple’s Next Move? The US vs China vs India Manufacturing Tug-of-War

Sumit Kumar
5 Min Read

Apple is rethinking its manufacturing map. Discover how U.S.-China-India relations are driving massive changes in Apple’s global production.

As the global political landscape continues to shift, Apple Inc. is recalibrating its manufacturing and supply chain strategies. The company, long seen as a symbol of global efficiency and innovation, now finds itself navigating a more complex, sometimes unpredictable terrain. With rising tensions involving the United States, China, and India, Apple is taking steps to hedge against growing risks and secure its standing in an increasingly polarized market.

U.S. vs China vs India

🇺🇸 United States: Mounting Pressure to Localize The U.S. remains Apple’s most profitable market, accounting for roughly 28% of all iPhone shipments worldwide. But since President Donald Trump secured a second term in 2024, the political winds have shifted. His administration has been vocal about pushing American companies to “reshore” manufacturing operations. For Apple, that pressure comes with a hefty price tag.

A proposed 25% tariff on iPhones made outside the U.S. is already looming large. While it hasn’t been implemented just yet, the very prospect has added urgency to Apple’s decision-making. Experts say bringing large-scale iPhone production stateside would be no small feat—higher wages, infrastructure costs, and regulatory hurdles could send production expenses soaring, which might eventually trickle down to consumers.

🇮🇳 China: A Shifting Stronghold China has been Apple’s go-to manufacturing hub for decades. Partners like Foxconn and Pegatron have played a key role in assembling iPhones at a scale few other countries can match. But that long-standing relationship is showing signs of strain.

Trade tensions between the U.S. and China have intensified, leading to increased tariffs on Chinese exports. That alone has squeezed Apple’s margins. Then there are China’s recent export restrictions on advanced manufacturing tech and talent, which are making it harder for foreign companies to operate freely.

On top of that, domestic competition is heating up. Chinese firms like Huawei are not only rebounding from previous setbacks but gaining significant traction in the local market. For Apple, it’s no longer just about manufacturing in China—it’s also about holding its ground.

🇮🇳 India: A Rising Star in Apple’s Supply Chain India is stepping up fast, and the numbers are hard to ignore. In April 2025, Apple saw a 76% year-over-year jump in iPhone exports from India to the U.S., hitting nearly 3 million units. That’s a striking contrast to China, where shipments to the U.S. plunged by the same percentage, down to just 900,000 units.

Apple’s ramp-up in India isn’t accidental. The company is pouring resources into partnerships with local players like Foxconn and Tata Electronics. In March 2025 alone, Foxconn was responsible for $1.3 billion worth of iPhone exports from India.

Government support has been a game-changer. Programs like “Make in India” and the Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme are turning the country into an increasingly attractive manufacturing destination. Apple has even committed to producing all iPhones sold in the U.S. from Indian facilities by the end of 2026—a massive step that would effectively double output from the region.

Apple’s Balancing Act Across Borders Navigating these geopolitical twists and turns, Apple is employing a strategy that’s as much about flexibility as it is about foresight.

  • Diversification: By expanding its footprint in India and exploring newer frontiers like Vietnam, Apple is aiming to reduce over-dependence on any single country.
  • Risk Mitigation: Aligning with politically stable partners helps avoid the pitfalls of sudden regulatory or diplomatic shifts.
  • Cost Management: There’s a constant balancing act between minimizing costs and dodging punitive tariffs.
  • Supply Chain Resilience: Apple is working to build a more shock-proof supply chain that can keep humming even when global tensions spike.

Looking Ahead: The “Friendshoring” Shift What we’re seeing isn’t just a tactical adjustment; it’s part of a broader industry trend dubbed “friendshoring.” That means moving operations to nations with closer political and economic ties. For Apple, that pivot is still unfolding. India’s infrastructure needs more scaling, and U.S. policy shifts remain a wild card.

Still, the direction is clear. Apple is preparing not just to adapt, but to thrive in this new reality. By lessening its reliance on China, responding to domestic political demands in the U.S., and betting big on India, the tech giant is reshaping its global footprint—one factory at a time.

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